Predictions for 2021 incoming later today.
In the meantime, it’s end of year report time. On January 1st we made the following ridiculous suggestions:
Politicians of all sides of the aisle increase the warnings against reliance on China. There will be noises made by the Federal government to have closer trade and defence links with the USA (particularly following the USA election).
A Westpac executive is jailed for the AUSTRAC issues. Probably Lynn Cobley.
Hindsight score – 7/10. As with the Victorian hotel quarantine fuck up, it’s looking unlikely anyone will be found accountable for the Wokepac kiddy-fiddling scandal.
The UK will reach a WTO+ deal (ie closer to WTO terms than a full trade deal) with the EU and negotiations won’t be extended. Boris will call their bluff.
Congress won’t send the impeachment papers to the Senate. The GOP will make political hay about this all the way to the election.
Hindsight score – 8/10. As anyone who has ever negotiated anything could have predicted, when faced with a credible threat of a walk away, the EU blinked.
The impeachment went to the Senate and we all yawned.
Sentiment turns against Saint Greta. There’s a financial scandal involving her parents or handlers.
A judge in the USA finds a single mother of a transgender child guilty of abuse. The Supreme Court supports this finding on appeal.
Hindsight score – 5/10. St Greta has been relatively quiet this year, so we can be thankful for small mercies.
Sentiment and the courts are turning against the child abusers masquerading as transgender allies.
Six Nations table:
Australia finishes bottom of the Rugby Championship table.
Hindsight score – 6/10. I correctly called the winner and loser of the disrupted Six Nations, and Australia did indeed come last in the amended Tri Nations.
Gold to temporarily breach all time high ($1,895).
The Dow to breach 30,000.
Hindsight score – 10/10. Expect more of this to come, we are truly living in the “everything bubble”.
Not bad, all things considered.