Another day, another taxpayer-funded study predicting the dire future consequences of climate change.
This one suggests rising sea levels will succeed where Kim Kardashian failed, and break the internet.
No, really; if the climate is changing as rapidly as they claim, and if this change will result in the polar ice caps melting, then rising sea levels will flood lots of the telecoms and data centre infrastructure of the internet.
Regular readers will realise there’s good deal of scepticism in this organ when reading claims such as these.
Two data sources are responsible for this cynicism towards claims the world is about to look like the set of a rubbish Kevin Costner movie;
1. The accuracy of their previous predictions, and
2. The historic data and trend line of sea levels.
Choose your own source to confirm what we were told/sold in the past about how quickly we would need to learn to swim but a quick search on the internet will produce quite a large range of predicted sea level rises and due by dates.
The one connecting factor all of these predictions will have is that they didn’t come true. The bad outcomes were never anywhere near as bad as predicted.
So what? People have been making wrong predictions about stuff forever. What does the actual observed data tell us?
So, rather than seeing those predicted metres of increased sea levels, we’ve seen about 20cm per century and the rate of the rise hasn’t accelerated either.
The original article links to this in support of its claim that sea levels are rising. Note that the linked article doesn’t present any observed data as evidence but yet more predictions without reference to observed data.
Now that we’ve spotted the use of “could” in the first article, have a look at the second one and see where the “could” pops up.
If the acceleration of ice melt were to continue, it could potentially cascade, leading to runaway ice melt and rapid sea level rise.
And if my mother had wheels instead of legs she’d be a trolley.
The Climate Change “military industrial complex” is a layer cake of beliefs which are increasingly more difficult to prove using the scientific method, which has helped us find the truth so well in recent centuries;
Layer 1. It’s possible that the climate is changing. In fact, given what we know from geological records, it’s almost impossible that the climate isn’t changing.
Layer 2. It’s possible that human activity has started to influence the change.
Layer 3. It’s also possible that human activity has influenced the changes in the climate at a rate that is worse than humans can cope with and poses an existential threat.
Layer 4. It might be possible that humans can find technological solutions to halt or even reverse the change (which also infers we can agree on what the “optimal” climate should be) without sentencing billions of the least wealthy to remain in poverty and suffer early deaths.
Layer 5. It may even be possible that, once these technological solutions are found and proven to be effective without disastrous side effects, the major economies of the world can agree to organise themselves in a way never previously witnessed in human history to implement the solution.
Layer 6. Or we could just move the fucking data centres up a hill and lay some new telecommunications cables.