Tim Newman has a fun discussion about the latest hope of those Americans who are still tearfully nursing a heavily-underlined and bookmarked copy of “What Happened?” by Hillary Clinton; Oprah Winfrey is being groomed for a run at the 2020 Presidential election.
Is it possible that the TV show host is exactly the person who can make President Trump join the ignoble ranks of Presidents Carter, Bush Sr and other one termers?
Well, it very much depends on which of the reasons offered in “What Happened?” You feel contributed most to Hillary’s shock defeat, or indeed, whether there are reasons not listed which may be the root of the problem.
In case you’ve not consulted Hillary’s definitive assessment of the 2016 election recently, here’s a quick recap of the reasons she offered for
losing having the election stolen from her;
- James Comey
- Vladimir Putin
- Barrack Obama
- Mitch McConnell
- The New York Times
- The media in general
- Bernie Sanders
- Jill Stein
- Racist white people
- Deplorables, and
Most of the above will be completely irrelevant in the 2020 election but Candidate Oprah may still have to deal with the Washington Post, the rest of the media, sexism, racists and those inconvenient deplorables.
Which of the reasons from this residual list might we deduce is the biggest challenge facing Oprah Winfrey for the 2020 race?
Yes, you there at the back?
What’s that? Sexism, racism and people who were labelled deplorable?
Now, if we were to produce a Venn Diagram of those three demographics, how large do we feel the common subset would be between all three?
10% of the total? 20%? More?
Next question; what would Hillary Clinton or Oprah Winfrey answer?
The answer to that question is why Winfrey stands little to no chance of beating Trump.
Privately, it’s possible Winfrey believes there is close to a 100% correlation between those deplorables who elected Trump and and America’s racists and sexists and for this reason, and this reason alone, her campaign will be unlikely to change the minds of the disaffected voters who perhaps objected to the label “deplorable” in 2016 and may still not enjoy that inference in 2 years’ time.
For those who are that way inclined, Sportsbet are offering 3.5 for a Trump 2nd term.